Kuzma’s top statistical doppelgänger was an All-Star and NBA champion

Kuzma’s top statistical doppelgänger was an All-Star and NBA champion

2022 NBA Summer League {--|:} Houston Rockets v Orlando, florida Magic
Is Washington Wizards forward Kyle Kuzma fascinated by results of his {journey|vacation} through the Statistical Doppelgänger Device? | Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images

With 43% of the election, fans chose Kyle Kuzma as the next Wizards {gamer|participant} to go through my Statistical Doppelgänger Machine. To summarize what I wrote regarding Kuzma in May , their overall production last {time of year was|period was} largely in line with their career norms with a couple of exceptions — he obtained more defensive rebounds, created more assists, blocked some more shots, and committed a lot more turnovers.

In my PPA metric (where average is 100 plus higher is better), Kuzma rated a 108, that was the best mark of their career and a little much better than average. Here’s his year-by-year PPA scores:

  • 2017-18 — 89
  • 2018-19 — 95
  • 2019-20 — 59
  • 2020-21 — 98
  • 2021-22 — 108
  • Career average — 91

He had a stretch associated with almost half {a time of year|a period} (37 games) where he created a solidly above average 127 PPA. That’s the same {tag|indicate} Andrew Wiggins produced {with regard to|regarding|intended for|to get|pertaining to} Golden State this season, plus Wiggins played in the All-Star game and had an important {part|function} in the Warriors’ championship operate.

Here is a look at some of the stats I personally use when evaluating players (box score stats are for each 100 team possessions, {unless of course|except if} otherwise noted):

  • Offensive ranking (points produced per {one hundred|a hundred|hundred} individual possessions): 103
  • Usage: twenty three. 8% (average is twenty. 0%)
  • Points: 25. 5
  • Rebounds: twelve. 6
  • Assists: 5. 3
  • Steals: zero. 9
  • Blocks: 1 . 3
  • Turnovers: {a few|three or more|several|3 or more}. 8
  • Fouls: 2 . 9
  • Free toss attempts: 8. 5
  • efg: fifty two. 0%
  • 2pt%: 52. 6%
  • 3pt%: thirty four. 1%
  • FT%: 71. 2%

Their offensive rating was {eight|7|6|almost eight}. 7 points per {one hundred|a hundred|hundred} possessions below league typical. Unfortunately, there isn’t {lots of|plenty of} reason to think this ineffectiveness was a result of a big unpleasant load. His efficiency all through his career has been considerably below league average, {despite|despite having} a lower usage rate, {as well as|and also} when on the floor with gamers like Lebron James plus Anthony Davis.

Last season, Kuzma shot a bit worse compared to league average from {almost everywhere|just about everywhere|all over the place} — twos, threes plus free throw. He do more playmaking than he’d shown previously in his profession, and while his turnovers {increased|went up|flower}, his assist-to-turnover ratio do improve to a career greatest 1 . 4. League typical was 1 . 9 final season. It was still even worse than average, however.

One more thing {prior to|just before} getting to the Doppelgänger outcomes: the on/off numbers. I’d caution against reading {a lot of|an excessive amount of|excessive} into them given the particular roster upheaval, which included Bradley Beal missing half the growing season, and the trade that delivered starting PG Spencer Dinwiddie to Dallas and cut back Kristaps Porzingis.

It’s worth observing, however that the team {has been|had been} better on both offense plus defense when Kuzma was not on the floor. This is true in order to at full season {figures|amounts|quantities}, when looking only at {online games|video games} Kuzma played in, so when looking at Kuzma when combined with the team’s “stars, ” Beal or Porzingis.

Towards the Doppelgänger Machine.

For those unfamiliar, {the|our} Statistical Doppelgänger Machine functions by comparing a player’s {overall performance|efficiency|functionality} across 14 different {groups|classes|types} that include age, playing period, pace-neutral box score statistics and scores from {the|our} PPA metric. All that is rolled up into a single rating that (in theory) {offers a|supplies a} list of NBA players {given that|considering that} 1977-78 with similar {manufacturing|creation} at a similar age.

One {notice|take note}: the top three on the {listing|checklist} below rate as fairly similar to Kuzma, but the commonalities get a bit more distant {past|over and above|further than|above|outside of} that.

  1. Toby Wiggins , Golden State Players , 2020-21, age twenty five — After five {months|periods} of sometimes brushing towards average, Wiggins kinda {out of cash|shattered|pennyless} out with Golden Condition. In this comp season, Wiggins hit his highest full-season PPA (114), which then he surpassed this past season {having a|using a} 127. On one hand, YAY! Kuzma’s top comp is an NBA All-Star beginner who simply won a championship. However, Kuzma’s top comp produced a light-speed transmogrification through disappointment to overrated, plus he’s crazy expensive {with regard to|regarding|intended for|to get|pertaining to} what he does.
  2. Aaron Gordon , Orlando Magic , 2017-18, age 22 — Similar production pattern, {although|even though} Gordan was a bit much better in this comp season (PPA 121 to Kuzma’s 108), and throughout his profession. With the exception of his rookie {12 months|yr|season|calendar year}, Gordon has rated much better than average every season associated with his career. Kuzma damaged average for the first time this season. Gordon has six seasons that will rated better than Kuzma’s {overall performance|efficiency|functionality} this year.
  3. Tobias Harris , Philadelphia 76ers plus La Clippers , 2018-19, age group 26 — Like Gordon, Kuzma and Harris {possess|have got} similar production patterns, yet Harris is just better. Harris had a 140 PPA {with this|within this|in this particular|on this} comp season and ten seasons with a PPA {greater than|more than} Kuzma’s 108. His greatest season was a 168 in the age 28 season along with Philadelphia in 2020-21.
  4. Aaron Gordon , Orlando Miracle, 2018-19, age 23 — A bit of a down year {with regard to|regarding|intended for|to get|pertaining to} Gordon — this 112 PPA season was placed between a 121 {along with a|and also a|plus a|as well as a} 119. His best {time of year|period}: a 134 at age twenty, by the way. One more example of {exactly how|just how} improvement for a young {gamer|participant} should never be assumed.
  5. Chandler Parsons , Dallas Mavericks , 2014-15, age 26 — A second round pick (38th overall), Parsons burst {in to the|to the} league with a 107 PPA as a first year , and he improved following that — PPA: 127, a hundred and twenty-five, 130 (the comp {time of year|period}, the best of his career), and 129. Then he held getting hurt and proceeded to go from being a productive beginner into a replacement level {maker|manufacturer} when he could get on the particular court.
  6. Metta {Globe|Planet|Entire world} Peace , Houston Rockets , 2008-09, age 29 — This was World Peace’s second-last above average season — the 114 PPA. He {adopted|implemented} it up with a 100, plus was a solid, league-average factor for another three seasons (to age 33) with the Los Angeles La lakers . At his {maximum|top}, World Peace was {a fantastic|a great|an excellent} defender and elite infestation — two things nobody has ever accused Kuzma of being.
  7. Keith Van Car horn , New Jersey Nets, 2001-02, age 26 — Such as Harris and Chandler, {designs|styles} of production are similar, yet Van Horn was much better. This comp season {has been|had been} one of six consecutive {many years|yrs} with an average or much better rating, five of which {ranked|graded} a 120 or much better. In this comp season, Vehicle Horn’s PPA was 127. What ended his “streak”? A spate of {accidental injuries|accidents} that diminished his {manufacturing|creation}, kept him on the sidelines and convinced him in order to retire at 30.
  8. Tobias Harris , Philadelphia 76ers, 2019-20, age 27 — See #3, above.
  9. Walt Williams , Toronto Raptors , 1996-97, age 26 — Here’s yet another player along with (somewhat) similar production who had been generally just a bit better than Kuzma has been to this point. In this compensation season, Williams had a 103 PPA, which was down through 119 the previous year. Williams peaked at 122 {using the|with all the} Rockets in his age twenty nine season. Also, true story alert : I once stole the particular ball from Williams throughout a pickup game at Elegant camp.
  10. Kelly Oubre Junior. , Phoenix Suns , 2019-20, age 24 — Keep in mind, the similarities at this point {exist|are available|is there|will there be} but aren’t as solid as they’ve been which includes other players. This was Oubre’s best season — the 112 PPA. He {adopted|implemented} that with a 102 {for that|for your} Warriors in 2020-21 {along with a|and also a|plus a|as well as a} 97 last season {using the|with all the} Charlotte now Hornets .

The particular bright side with Kuzma’s comps is that they all were a minimum of decent players. On the other hand, their list of comp feels a little like an all-overrated or payed too much list. And the recurring {concept is|style is} that Kuzma has been a bad man’s version of the best {of those|of such|of the} guys.

Full Story / Source: https://www.bulletsforever.com/2022/8/14/23304238/kuzmas-top-statistical-doppelganger-was-an-all-star-and-nba-champion

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